Gas

  • Australia’s LNG export revenues are forecast to decline from $69 billion in 2023–24 to $59 billion by 2025–26. Export volumes are expected to decrease slightly from a strong level in 2022–23 as some gas reserves start to deplete.

  • The fall in export earnings will be largely driven by lower LNG prices, which have already fallen significantly from the record levels of 2022.

  • New supply from the US and Qatar should help to bring LNG prices down from US$13.9/MMBtu in 2023 to US$11.5/MMBtu by 2026.

    (source: https://www.industry.gov.au/publications/resources-and-energy-quarterly-june-2024)

ABH Resources Insights:

Australian government policy constrains new domestic production via slower than usual approval processes.