Gas

  • Australia’s LNG export revenues are forecast to decline from $69 billion in 2023–24 to $60 billion by 2025–26. This outlook is largely unchanged from the September 2024 Resources and Energy Quarterly.

  • The fall in export earnings largely reflects a forecast drop in prices, though depletion of some reserves is expected to cut volumes slightly.

  • LNG prices remain relatively high, but new supply from the US and Qatar is forecast to bring prices down to around US$10/MMbtu by 2026.

    (source: https://www.industry.gov.au/publications/resources-and-energy-quarterly-december-2024)

ABH Resources Insights:

Australian government policy constrains new domestic production via slower than usual approval processes.